Season points by pick
The line is the typical return at each pick, a rolling median. Above it the pick outperformed its slot; the five biggest gaps each way are named.
The race
Points by week
Running total points — hover a team to compare its points against
Luck · all-play record and expected wins
All-play counts a week as a win against every team you outscored. Expected wins is that share summed over the weeks; luck is real wins minus expected. Above the diagonal in the chart is good and lucky, below it is good and robbed.
Playoff odds
Against projection · average points over or under ESPN's number
Where the points come from · starters by position, every team
New snapshots are collected every Tuesday during the season and appear here on their own — no refresh needed. The draft board refreshes daily, including before kickoff.